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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Friday morning, December 17, 2021
The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE in the upper elevation northeast, north and northwest facing slopes steeper than about 35 degrees. Human triggered avalanches are likely in that terrain. In other areas, the avalanche danger is much lower. If you are getting into high elevation northerly facing terrain, stay on slopes of 30 degrees in steepness or less to stay safe. Make sure there are no steep slopes directly above you as well.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
The small storm that moved through actually exceeded my expectations. The Manti Skyline picked up 2 to 4 inches of new snow. The wind has been moderate in speed from the northwest. It's been increasing along the highest ridgelines. Overnight temperatures were in the mid teens. Our friend Darce Trotter was out poking around the backcountry on Thursday. Check out his findings HERE.
Mountain Weather
We'll have mostly cloudy skies today with high temperatures in the teens and moderate speed northwest wind. It may feel breezy along the highest ridgelines. The next few days are going to be sunny and mild. Storms are advertised again starting mid week next week that look fairly promising for snow at this time.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A buried persistent weak layer of loose sugary faceted snow on northeast, north and northwest facing slopes continues to be a concern for triggering slab avalanches. Backcountry travelers were still experiencing some minor collapsing on Thursday. This is a big red flag. If you are experiencing collapsing (whoomping) of the snowpack underneath you or you're seeing the snow surface crack around you, the snowpack is telling you "things are unstable" and that you should avoid slopes approaching 35 degrees or steeper.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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