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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, February 7, 2022
The avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline remains generally LOW.
Keep in mind that LOW danger does NOT mean NO danger. There are always inherent risks when traveling in the backcountry especially if you are getting into big committing lines.
Scattered shallow wind slabs could catch a person off guard. If you are in terrain with serious consequences like rocks/cliffs/trees below you, this could be bad news.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Riding conditions remain hit or miss. One moment you're battling vicious crusts or rock hard surfaces, the next your into blissful soft snow that is completely enjoyable. Overnight temperatures were in the mid teens to around 20˚F. Northwest wind speeds have been pretty light in most locations over the last 24 hours with things feeling a little breezy on the highest ridges.
Mountain Weather
More of the same sunny weather is in the forecast for the next week. We'll see highs around 30˚F and generally light northwest wind for the next few days. Weather models continue to hint at a more stormy pattern starting around the 16th.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The snowpack remains mostly stable right now. Minor shallow wind slabs along ridges could possibly crack out but these seem far a few between. The snow surface in lots of places consists of loose sugary "near surface facets". This sugar has formed during this prolonged period with no storms. The concern is that it may act as a Persistent Weak layer once it's buried with new snow. It is a serious concern at this point and I am monitoring it closely.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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