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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Friday morning, December 6, 2024
The overall avalanche danger is currently MODERATE.
It's possible to trigger an avalanche that breaks into weak snow near the ground.
That said, the chances are becoming less and less over time.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Riding conditions are holding up surprisingly well. It's shallow so you really need to be careful but with the lack of wind recently, there's still settled powder around. Total snow depths have settled and are between 20 and 30 inches. High pressure continues to dominate the weather pattern bringing lots of sun and mild daytime temperatures.
Mountain Weather: Mild weather continues through the week. A small storm on Sunday-Monday continues to look smaller as time goes on. As of now, it doesn't look like it'll bring much snow.
Recent Avalanches
There haven't been any reported avalanches since Friday, November 29th.
CLICK HERE for a list of known avalanches on the Skyline.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The weak snow remains at the base of the snowpack from Oct and mid Nov. It was unstable and produced some avalanches over Thanksgiving. As time goes on, the chances for triggering an avalanche decrease.
At this point it is pretty unlikely that a person is going to trigger an avalanche. It's not impossible though. Here is where you still could find trouble.
  • Very steep slopes that are 35 degrees to 40 degrees in slope steepness that face a northerly direction (especially northeast) above about 9000 feet in elevation.
That old weak snow at the base is becoming "dormant". The problem is, it isn't going away. It is not gaining strength. As a matter of a fact, the whole snowpack is weakening a little bit day by day. It is most likely that we will see problems again once we stack more snow up on top of this stuff.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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