Introduction:
Good Morning, this is Max Forgensi
with the
To
check out past advisories, go to ARCHIVE. To check out the current, go to our WEATHER page.
Current
Conditions:
Warm weather since the 21st
and the chance we received some rain up on the Skyline has been changing the
snow conditions. Yesterday the high
temperature reached 48 degrees at the Mammoth/Cottonwood SNOTEL site. Expect heavy snow and slushy roads. Unfortunately, there isn’t enough snow to
cover all the obstacles out in the meadows.
Snowmobiles have been hitting rocks just under the snow surface with bad
results. In conditions like these its good to carry insurance.
Click the links below to find out
up to date information at these weather stations on the Skyline.
Mammoth/Cottonwood SNOTEL
(8,800’): 24.9” of snow on the ground.
Seeley Creek SNOTEL (10,000’):
There is 16.7” of snow on the ground.
Mountain
Weather:
Today...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain
and snow showers in the morning...Then partly cloudy with isolated snow showers
in the afternoon. Highs at 8000 feet around 40.
Northwest winds 15-25 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Tonight...Mostly clear.
Lows at 8000 feet near 20.
Saturday...Mostly
sunny. Highs at 8000 feet around 40.
Avalanche
Conditions: (Click here for the International
Avalanche Danger Scale)
Field observations on the 21st showed that we do have some weak layers at the upper elevations in the middle of the snow pack. The 8” of snow we received on Monday December 19th, with the help of some strong winds out of the west has covered a weak layer of facets which formed during the last period of high pressure. The snow from Monday has created a hard wind slab on North through East aspects anywhere from 12”-20” thick. Stability tests yielded moderate shears on the interface between these two layers, which could react to a new load, i.e. a snowmobile, skier or from heavy rain. On aspects, the warm weather and chance of rain could be allowing the snow to lose its cohesion…if the sun starts to poke out of the clouds be prepared for a rapid warm up. The saving grace on our South through West aspects is the lack of significant snow on the ground. Avalanches will be second to finding tiger traps in the form of bushes and deadfall.
The BOTTOM LINE for today is going to be an
avalanche danger rating of MODERATE, especially
on steep NW-N-NE aspects at the high elevations of the Skyline.
*The advisory is also
available via recorded message at (800) 648-7433