Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Abajo Area Mountains Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Saturday - March 26, 2016 - 7:27am
bottom line

Overall, the avalanche danger is generally LOW but unstable snow may exist on isolated terrain features, particularly in upper elevation, steep and radical terrain.




special announcement

The Abajo / Blue Mountain advisory provides detailed snow, mountain weather, and avalanche information on weekends. During the week, an overall danger rating will be provided with current condition information available through the weather links below.


current conditions

Westerly winds on Abajo Peak are mostly light this morning and it's a frigid 11 degrees. Buckboard Flat still has a base depth of 30" and sheltered, north facing aspects have about 4' of coverage but between the wind, sun, and unusually dry February, and as of yet March, things are going fast. Many south facing slopes have melted out entirely and grass and dry spots are appearing on other aspects as well.​ Most snow surfaces have some degree of melt freeze crust going on, and only the highest, northerly aspects hold any dry snow.

Winds, temperature and humidity on Abajo Peak.

Snow totals at Buckboard Flat.

Snow totals at Camp Jackson.

recent activity

Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

The avalanche danger is mostly low at this time. But low danger doesn't mean no danger and areas of unstable snow may still exist on isolated terrain features.

weather

A low pressure system moving through the region looks to be zeroed in on the southern San Juan Mountains. The Abajo/Blue Mountains will see a chance for snow showers this morning, with partly sunny skies developing by afternoon. NW winds will be on the increase into the 15-20 mph range with gusts to 30, and high temps at 10,000' will be in the mid to high 20's.

Today

Snow showers likely, mainly before 1pm. Areas of blowing snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Blustery, with a north northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Tonight

A 10 percent chance of snow before 7pm. Areas of blowing snow before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 19. Blustery, with a north northwest wind 15 to 20 mph.

Sunday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 39. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.

Monday

Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Windy, with a south southwest wind 25 to 30 mph increasing to 30 to 35 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.

general announcements

Let me know what you are seeing down there by posting an observation here.  You can also call me on my cell phone at 801-647-8896

To receive this advisory by email go here.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done.  This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.